Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.477779 0.553477 0.636551 0.734382 0.846344 0.970374 1.118093
2025-06-01 0.345520 0.446412 0.568775 0.727632 0.927922 1.171539 1.489785
2025-06-08 0.265965 0.372206 0.510781 0.703799 0.964602 1.303524 1.775967
2025-06-15 0.235248 0.351086 0.511249 0.747187 1.083909 1.544816 2.220688
2025-06-22 0.193514 0.306089 0.470128 0.724208 1.104914 1.650536 2.487139
2025-06-29 0.161787 0.269797 0.434850 0.702326 1.120992 1.746127 2.743399
2025-07-06 0.137681 0.241094 0.406200 0.685087 1.139360 1.843397 3.007541
2025-07-13 0.124313 0.227551 0.399034 0.699716 1.207302 2.020555 3.408886
2025-07-20 0.116757 0.222589 0.404867 0.735544 1.312163 2.264219 3.936931
2025-07-27 0.108059 0.214229 0.403559 0.758393 1.396553 2.480733 4.438168
2025-08-03 0.098310 0.202473 0.394606 0.766223 1.454788 2.657154 4.885403
2025-08-10 0.088156 0.188463 0.379681 0.761042 1.488380 2.792590 5.271180
2025-08-17 0.078266 0.173840 0.362277 0.750017 1.511538 2.914193 5.648465
2025-08-24 0.070106 0.161659 0.348208 0.743923 1.543557 3.055171 6.074987
2025-08-31 0.061227 0.146606 0.326417 0.719626 1.537074 3.122770 6.368524
2025-09-07 0.059632 0.147409 0.337493 0.763939 1.671836 3.471402 7.230361
2025-09-14 0.052489 0.134475 0.317640 0.740471 1.664833 3.541439 7.550316
2025-09-21 0.046329 0.122927 0.299351 0.718123 1.657480 3.609303 7.870358
2025-09-28 0.041247 0.113241 0.284036 0.700517 1.658222 3.693095 8.228990
2025-10-05 0.038813 0.109877 0.283000 0.715458 1.732179 3.935801 8.939611
2025-10-12 0.037854 0.110217 0.290834 0.752049 1.858463 4.300149 9.938337
2025-10-19 0.036169 0.108370 0.293080 0.775382 1.956216 4.610012 10.842419
2025-10-26 0.033808 0.104310 0.289281 0.783378 2.018458 4.845969 11.601083